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- Countering Terrorism
- There are currently more than 1500 terrorist
- organizations and groups being monitored in the United
- States. Terrorists by definition kill people and
- destroy property in order to advance a political
- agenda. We must make every effort to protect American
- citizens from these attacks. In the future that will
- require both state of the art measures to monitor
- terrorist activities and the movement of materials
- used for these activities, but also response scenarios
- in the event of an actual incident. The United States
- has consistently set a good example of no negotiations
- with terrorists and attempting to bring alleged
- terrorists to trial. We need to support humanitarian,
- political, and educational efforts to decrease the
- incidence of terrorism across the world. That includes
- measures to eliminate the production and deployment of
- nuclear, biological, and chemical weapons. We need to
- maintain a high level of vigilance to protect the
- security of the United States.
- The FBI is the lead agency in the the fight against
- terrorism. This FBI has been very effective in
- coordinating the efforts of other agencies. They have
- been successful in finding the perpetrators of
- terrorist activity and preventing many terrorist
- incidents. The problem is that no federal agency can
- be expected to find all of the terrorists, before they
- commit violent crimes. The bombing incidents at the
- World Trade Center and Oklahoma City are two examples.
- In both of these incidents, conventional explosives
- technology was used to kill people and destroy
- property. There are current efforts coordinated by the
- FBI to obtain intelligence on the groups that would
- use these methods and intercept them before the
- incidents occur. These incidents will continue to
- require concerted efforts by national and
- international law enforcement agencies. But there are
- possible incidents that could lead to greater loss of
- life. Those incidents would occur if terrorists used
- biological, chemical, or nuclear weapons.
- Bioterrorism
- Bioterrorism is using biological warfare agents to
- commit terrorist crimes. There are various estimates
- of the effects of terrorists releasing various
- biological weapons on an unsuspecting population. The
- Johns Hopkins University Center for Civilian
- Biodefense suggest that the three most likely
- biological agents that could be used include smallpox,
- anthrax, and plague. There are several other bacteria,
- viruses, and biological toxins that are also
- considered candidates for biological warfare or
- terrorism. On October 1, 1999 Dr. Kanatjan Alibekov, a
- former Soviet military officer who was second in
- command of their biological weapons division appeared
- on ABC News Prime Time Live. He had defected from the
- Soviet Union in 1992. He wrote a classified report at
- that time that this program had produced hundreds of
- tons of anthrax and several tons of small pox virus
- and plague bacteria. He said that the Russians were
- continuing to actively work on biological weapons.
- This allegation was subsequently denied by Russian
- officials. The most significant threat from biological
- weapons currently has to do with the security of the
- Russian supply of these materials. Because these
- weapons are inexpensive to produce and deploy there
- are concerns that they may be the agents of choice for
- some states that sponsor terrorist activity. The World
- Health Organization has estimated the lethality of
- these weapons. The lethality of smallpox, anthrax, and
- plague are given in the table below:
- Agent
- Case Fatality Rate
- Treatment and Prevention
- Smallpox
- 30%
- Vaccination
- Anthrax
- 80%
- Vaccination, Antibiotics
- Plague
- 50%
- Vaccination, Antibiotics
- The Working Group on Civilian Biodefense has concluded
- that of the total number of known biological agents
- only a few would be suitable as weapons of mass
- destruction. Various estimates about the lethality of
- these agents are available. A 1993 report by the
- Congressional Office of Technology Assessment
- estimates that an aircraft release of 50 pounds of
- anthrax spores over a large metropolitan area would
- result in 130,000 to 3 million deaths. This is the
- same magnitude of the expected casualties expected in
- a nuclear attack. The main problem in the case of a
- biological weapon attack is recognition of the illness
- and taking the appropriate treatment measures. Some of
- the symptom presentations are difficult to figure out,
- and any delay in diagnosis can lead to further poor
- outcomes and further spread of the illness. If the
- attack is not announced, the only early sign may be a
- large increase in serious respiratory disease in a
- community.
- Nuclear Terrorism
- Nuclear terrorism is a consequence of nuclear
- proliferation and advanced technology. As early as
- 1980, the Soviet Union and the United States produced
- working suitcase sized nuclear weapons that could be
- used for the purpose of terrorism. The United States
- subsequently disposed of these weapons. Dr. Alexie
- Yablokov gave testimony to the Research and
- Development Subcommittee in 1997 and asserted that
- these suitcase bombs exist and that many were
- unaccounted for. The Committee Chairman,
- Representative Curt Weldon said that in other contacts
- as many as 132 of these devices were built in Russia
- and that only 48 could be located. There was some
- controversy about the health effects of dispersing
- plutonium into the water supply or air, rather than
- using it for weapons. The main problem that any
- terrorist group would have is getting plutonium to
- produce a weapon. There are currently nine countries
- that stockpile weapons grade plutonium. They hold
- approximately 250 Tons of this material. The largest
- supplies are thought to be in Israel and India. It
- takes about 3-4 kg of plutonium to produce a nuclear
- warhead. This stock can produce about 80,000 nuclear
- weapons.
- The real current danger in terms of the nuclear threat
- of terrorist suitcase bombs is the availability of
- weapons grade plutonium to terrorists. It is estimated
- that a few kilograms of this material could be
- purchased on the black market for several million
- dollars. There are rumors that attempts to make these
- purchases have already occurred. The availability of
- plutonium for sale to terrorist organizations also
- depends on the stability of a country's economy. It is
- thought that a destabilized economy increases the
- likelihood of a transaction with terrorists. To
- directly deal with this threat, Congress has initiated
- and maintained various program since 1991 to assist
- Russia in providing adequate security to nuclear
- materials, assist in dismantling weapons that were not
- necessary for its defense, assisting in converting
- reactors from plutonium production to power
- generation, and providing funding to research
- facilities so that nuclear scientists and technicians
- would not emigrate to other countries and provide
- assistance in nuclear weapons technology. These
- provisions are known as Nunn-Lugar after the senators
- who sponsored the initial bill. They are also known as
- Cooperative Threat Reduction (CTR) programs.
- What Can Be Done at This Time
- While researching this issue, I frequently came across
- expert opinion that: It is not a question of if, but
- when terrorists will attack using some of these
- weapons. In spite of this level of concern by the
- experts there are no visible initiatives at the state
- and community level. In my opinion those initiatives
- should include education and organization around
- prevention and response to terrorist attacks. There
- should also be more information available on the
- importance of nuclear non-proliferation and assisting
- Russia with improving the security of its nuclear
- stockpiles and expert personnel. I would work on the
- following anti-terrorism agenda if elected:
- 1. Rigorous support for Nunn-Lugar or CTR programs:
- Preventing terrorist organizations from getting
- nuclear material that could be incorporated into a
- small device and imported into the United States is a
- priority. The best chance we have to do this is to
- assist Russian in dismantling their offensive nuclear
- weapons and supporting research by their current
- nuclear scientists into other areas. These programs
- have many documented successes, and the potential cost
- is too high if we become less vigilant in this area.
- There are signs that we are becoming less willing to
- fund some of these measures. For example, the
- installation of radiation detectors at all of Russia's
- border locations would cost several billion dollars.
- Instead we have pledged a few million dollars, or
- enough to put detectors at a few key locations. We
- clearly need more resolve in this area. Another
- possible advantage of these programs may be new ideas
- on how to reduce and contain chemical and biological
- weapons.
- 2. Halting Production of Enriched Uranium and
- Plutonium:
- Both of these elements can be used to build nuclear
- weapons. The best way to assure more safety for the
- United States and the rest of the planet is to press
- for the cessation of the production of enriched
- Uranium and Plutonium.
- 3. Support for Recommendations by the Working Group on
- Civilian Biodefense:
- In the initial papers written by this group they
- emphasize the need for increased medical awareness and
- knowledge of these organisms and toxins. They also
- prioritize more rapid diagnostic techniques, and
- better knowledge about therapy, infection control, and
- decontamination strategies. Where it is needed they
- also recommend improved vaccines and increased
- stockpiles and production capacities of the specific
- vaccine. In the case of certain bacteria, antibiotic
- resistance has been demonstrated in the same organisms
- used for weapons. The Working Group recommends further
- study of this resistance phenomenon.
- 4. Local Experts and Treatment Protocols:
- The knowledge of what to do in a terrorist attack that
- potentially involves weapons of mass destruction
- currently exists in a few specialized facilities in
- the country. This expertise needs to be disseminated
- to local multidisciplinary teams and members of the
- medical community. These groups need access to the
- latest specialized information and potential hazards.
- If elected, I will work very hard in this area to make
- sure Minnesota has the local experts and they in turn
- have access to the information they need to respond to
- terrorist threats and actions.
- 5. Support for Current Counter Terrorism Efforts:
- The FBI is currently the lead agency for these
- efforts. They have been successful in intercepting
- terrorists in this country and tracking down
- terrorists who have completed an act of violence. An
- active dialogue between this agency and Congress is
- needed to make sure that this agency has the resources
- and cooperation it needs to be effective in this area.
- 6. Preventive measures to Reduce the Risk of a
- Successful Attack:
- The current public literature and commentary describes
- a high risk of attack in the next 25 years. So far
- there has been very little discussion of what citizens
- can do to prevent attacks and protect their families
- and communities. This discussion has to occur. I do
- not believe we can focus only on how to manage the
- consequences of an attack after it has occurred. This
- is an opportunity for involvement by all citizens. If
- elected, I will push for these strategies and
- encourage their dissemination to all citizens.
- All of these measures are important priorities because
- of the risks inherent in not paying attention to these
- threats.
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- Links
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